张尧浠：美停摆结束鹰言出击、金价跳水再陷调整待涨预期

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold prices, highlighting a bullish outlook despite short-term adjustments, driven by economic data and geopolitical factors [1][5][6]. Market Overview - Gold prices experienced a high of $4245.07 per ounce before retreating to $4080.31, with a weekly fluctuation of $247.37 and a net increase of $78.94, or 1.97% [1]. - The market anticipates a continuation of bullish trends, with gold remaining above the 10-week moving average and the Bollinger Bands indicating upward momentum [1][5]. Economic Influences - Weak economic data has reinforced expectations for a loose monetary policy, contributing to a temporary rebound in gold prices of over $200 [3]. - The reopening of the U.S. government is expected to release a backlog of important employment and inflation data, which may further support gold prices [5][6]. Federal Reserve Outlook - The article notes that several Federal Reserve officials have expressed cautious views on interest rate cuts, which has pressured gold prices [3]. - However, there is a prevailing sentiment that the market may see a more dovish environment in the future, potentially leading to rate cuts that would benefit gold [5][6]. Technical Analysis - The technical outlook suggests that gold prices are likely to rebound from current support levels, with key focus on the 5/10 week moving averages for potential bullish signals [7][9]. - Immediate support levels for gold are identified at $4070 or $4050, while resistance levels are at $4125 or $4160 [9]. Future Projections - The article posits that gold could target $5000 per ounce in the long term, with current price adjustments viewed as buying opportunities rather than a trend reversal [6]. - The expectation of a continued easing cycle or a more accommodative monetary policy environment is likely to sustain upward pressure on gold prices [6].