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山海:黄金先看震荡上行,再关注周内数据冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-17 01:54

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant volatility last week, with gold and silver showing a pattern of four days of gains followed by one day of decline, indicating a struggle between bullish and bearish forces [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold reached a high of 4245 but fell to a low of 4031 on Friday, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than a strong trend [3][5]. - The outlook for gold remains bullish for the year, with expectations that any significant declines will be temporary adjustments rather than a shift to a bearish trend [5]. - The trading range for gold this week is anticipated to be between 4030 and 4250, with a focus on potential rebounds from lower levels [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver also experienced fluctuations, peaking at 54.5 before dropping to 50, with a recommendation to maintain long positions [3][6]. - The target for silver this week is set at 53, with potential for a double top formation at 54.5 [6]. Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold contracts showed strong performance, with specific buy signals at 935 and 930, and a recommendation to exit positions at 970 and 965 to avoid losses from the Friday drop [6]. - Current targets for domestic gold are set at 955 for the week, maintaining a bullish outlook [6]. Domestic Silver Performance - Domestic silver contracts also saw significant gains, with buy signals at 46 and 47, and a peak at 54.5, followed by a recommendation to buy at lower levels [7]. - The target for domestic silver is set at 53, with a focus on maintaining long positions [7]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil experienced a drop to 58.1 but rebounded to close at 59.5, indicating a potential for a range-bound trading pattern [7]. - The support level is identified at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within this range until a breakout occurs [7]. Domestic Fuel Oil Analysis - Domestic fuel oil showed little volatility, closing around 2600, with a recommendation to maintain existing long positions while monitoring for upward movement [8].