浙商证券：AI云端算力及存储芯片需求均增 AI端侧落地节奏逐步增强

Core Insights - The explosive demand driven by AI is rapidly increasing the need for chips, including AI computing power and storage, with the global storage market projected to reach $263.3 billion by 2025 and grow to $407.1 billion by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 11.5% from 2025 to 2029 [1][2] Group 1: AI Cloud - The global and Chinese AI markets have entered an accelerated penetration phase, significantly boosting the demand for chips related to computing and storage [1] - The growth of the global storage products market may exceed expectations due to limited capacity expansion and implementation pace from original manufacturers [1] Group 2: Domestic Cloud Investment - Domestic cloud companies are accelerating capital expenditures, with Alibaba planning to invest over 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years, surpassing the total of the past decade [2] - ByteDance's capital expenditure for 2024 is projected to reach approximately 80 billion yuan, nearing the combined total of Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu [2] - Domestic AI chip leaders, such as Cambricon and Haiguang Information, have completed capital increases and industrial integration plans, indicating a trend towards domestic chip replacement amid ongoing restrictions on Nvidia chips [2] Group 3: AI Edge - The rhythm of AI product implementation is gradually increasing, with AI smartphones, AI glasses, and AI robots expected to contribute to industry growth [3] - The iPhone 17's design and cost-effectiveness have exceeded market expectations, with innovations in battery technology driving improvements in smart device endurance [3] - The ecosystem for foldable phones is maturing, with key component supply capabilities improving and costs decreasing, leading to clear growth potential in shipments [3] Group 4: Domestic Manufacturing - Breakthroughs in advanced processes are crucial for domestic chip replacement, with potential improvements in yield and process nodes expected in the second half of 2025 [4] - The demand for semiconductor materials is driven by the continuous expansion of domestic wafer fabs, highlighting the importance of strong performance and competitive positioning in niche markets [4] - The EDA sector may see a critical window for domestic replacement open due to the U.S. Department of Commerce using EDA sales restrictions as a negotiation tool [4]