意外还是必然？停摆打破数据采集底线，美国经济面临隐性风险

Core Insights - The U.S. government shutdown has led to the cancellation of key economic reports for October, specifically the inflation and employment reports, which are critical indicators of economic health [2][4][10] - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has faced significant challenges in data collection due to the shutdown, resulting in the inability to produce the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report [4][8][14] - The absence of these reports has left policymakers and investors without essential data, complicating economic decision-making and potentially leading to misjudgments about the economic outlook [10][12][16] Economic Data Impact - The shutdown has disrupted the collection of vital economic data, with the BLS unable to conduct necessary surveys and data gathering during this period [4][6] - While some data from September was prioritized and released, the October data is deemed irretrievable, affecting the overall assessment of the labor market and inflation trends [6][12] - Analysts had hoped for some recovery in data collection post-shutdown, but the core data remains missing, leading to a reliance on less comprehensive private sector data [8][10] Market Reactions - Investors are now forced to adjust their strategies based on incomplete information, increasing the risk associated with investment decisions [10][16] - The lack of official employment data has led to a perception of a weakening job market, with reports indicating rising layoffs and a slowdown in hiring [10][12] - The situation has raised concerns about the credibility of U.S. economic data on an international scale, as the inability to provide timely and accurate statistics undermines confidence in the economic reporting system [14][16]