Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a significant transformation, moving away from its previous image of being low-profit and heavily polluting, now recognized as a foundational element of high-end manufacturing and a growth sector worth 4 trillion yuan [3][10]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The chemical sector has shifted from chaotic overproduction to a more balanced supply-demand relationship, driven by policy changes, industry adjustments, and resource constraints [5][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's "14th Five-Year Plan" has curtailed blind capacity expansion, reducing industry capacity growth from double digits to below 7% [5]. - Key resources like phosphate rock and fluorite are in tight supply, with demand from emerging industries such as electric vehicles and energy storage expected to drive material demand growth by over 50% in 2024 [5][10]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the chemical industry has evolved from merely increasing production capacity to focusing on technological advancements and high-value products [6][7]. - Leading companies are investing in high-margin sectors, with over 30% of Wanhua Chemical's 25.24 billion yuan investment directed towards fine chemicals and emerging materials [7]. - China's chemical products now account for over 60% of the global market share in basic and fine chemicals, with increasing international pricing power [8][10]. Investment Opportunities - The chemical sector is undergoing a strategic revaluation, with expectations of improved profitability and valuation recovery, particularly in segments like refrigerants and pesticides [8][9]. - Companies with strong supply-demand management, high technological barriers, and comprehensive global strategies are positioned to benefit from the ongoing market changes [9][12]. - The global chemical market is projected to exceed $5.2 trillion by 2030, with China's market reaching $1.9 trillion, indicating significant growth potential [11][12].
反内卷重构千亿赛道,这个板块悄悄逆袭!
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-17 10:50