中欧国际工商学院芮萌：保障+产业双轮驱动，构建品质型养老生态

Core Insights - The article discusses the aging population in China, highlighting that 19 provinces have entered a moderately aging society, raising concerns about the "aging before becoming rich" and "aging without preparation" issues [2][3] - It emphasizes the need for a balanced development of the three-pillar pension system, which includes basic pension insurance, enterprise annuities, and personal pensions [3][5] Pension System Overview - As of the end of 2024, the participation rate in basic pension insurance is projected to reach 95%, while only 3% of employees participate in enterprise annuities and 7% in personal pensions [3] - The pension replacement rate for urban workers is estimated to be around 45%, significantly below the international warning line of 55% [5] Policy Recommendations - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests a dual-driven approach to building a quality pension ecosystem, focusing on both "guarantee + industry" and addressing the imbalance between supply and demand in the pension sector [4] - The plan aims to upgrade the pension system from a safety net to a quality-oriented model, transforming the elderly from passive beneficiaries to active participants in the silver economy [4] Financial Product Innovations - The article highlights the need for a robust three-pillar pension system, with a focus on enhancing the second and third pillars, which are currently underdeveloped [5][7] - Innovative financial products such as reverse mortgages, long-term care insurance, and real estate investment trusts are suggested to meet the diverse needs of retirees [5][8] Structural Goals for Pension System - A proposed short-term structural goal for the pension system is to achieve a "631" or "622" ratio, gradually moving towards a more balanced "523" or "443" ratio in the long term [6] Challenges and Solutions - The main challenge in increasing participation in the second and third pillars is the lack of enthusiasm from enterprises and individuals [7] - Recommendations include government intervention to incentivize personal savings for pensions and ensuring equitable policy measures to encourage broader participation [7] Silver Economy Growth Potential - The silver economy is expected to grow significantly, with potential areas including elderly care services, social engagement activities, and health management technologies [10] - The article identifies the need for financial products that support the silver economy as a critical growth area [10]