城镇化增速放缓之后，“十五五”城市发展如何破局？

Core Insights - China's urbanization rate has reached 67%, indicating a shift towards the later stages of urban development, with a trend of slowing urbanization growth [1][2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period saw an average urbanization growth rate drop to 0.78 percentage points due to the pandemic, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 0.7 percentage points, reaching an estimated 71.5% by 2030 [2][3] Urbanization Trends - Historical average annual urbanization rate increases were: 1.44 percentage points during the "9th Five-Year Plan," 1.35 during the "10th," 1.39 during the "11th," 1.48 during the "12th," and 1.31 during the "13th" [2] - The transition from rapid growth to stable development in urbanization is a key focus for the new period, as highlighted in the recent Central Urban Work Conference [2] Quality and Speed of Urbanization - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes balancing speed and quality in urbanization, with a focus on improving urbanization quality and synchronizing urbanization with citizenization [3][4] Rural-Urban Integration - The integration of rural and urban areas is crucial, with county-level cities becoming key hubs for absorbing rural labor migration [7][9] - The quality of urbanization for agricultural migrants needs improvement, with a focus on providing basic public services based on registered residence [4][6] Structural Optimization - The current urban structure is characterized by a polarization between mega-cities and smaller towns, necessitating a re-evaluation of urban scale and structure [11][12] - From 2010 to 2023, the number of mega-cities increased from 8 to 23, while small cities decreased from 489 to 469, indicating a need for coordinated development [11] High-Quality Urban Development - The shift towards high-quality urban development is a priority, focusing on enhancing urban characteristics, safety, and development atmosphere [13][14] - Urban renewal is identified as a critical strategy for achieving high-quality urban development, emphasizing the need for government support to attract investment and stimulate demand [13][14]