Post Holdings to Report Q4 Earnings: What Should Investors Expect?

Core Insights - Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is expected to report an increase in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenue estimates at approximately $2.25 billion, reflecting an 11.8% year-over-year growth [1] - The earnings consensus has risen to $1.92 per share, indicating a 25.5% increase compared to the previous year [2] Revenue Drivers - The anticipated performance is bolstered by the full-quarter inclusion of 8th Avenue, enhancing portfolio scale and category penetration, which is expected to offset normalization in other business areas [3] - Seasonal strength from the back-to-school period is likely to contribute positively to cereal volumes, further supporting revenue growth [3] Operational Performance - Cold-chain operations have shown improved momentum, particularly in egg and potato volumes, alongside healthy breakfast traffic from end customers [4] - Cost-optimization efforts across segments are expected to strengthen the bottom line, with better cost performance noted in grocery and pet segments, as well as efficiency improvements in Refrigerated Retail [5] Foodservice Segment - The foodservice segment is projected to be a significant earnings contributor, with revenues estimated at $637.7 million, representing a 7% year-over-year growth, supported by stabilized egg supply and improved operational flow [6] Guidance and Outlook - Management has raised the full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook to a range of $1.50 billion to $1.52 billion, suggesting flat to slightly above growth for the fiscal fourth quarter compared to the third quarter [7] - Despite a Zacks Rank of 3 and a negative Earnings ESP of -3.00%, the overall outlook remains cautiously optimistic [8]