Core Insights - Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is scheduled to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on February 5, with investors keen to see if the company can exceed market expectations [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is set at $2.2 billion, reflecting a 9.6% increase from the previous year [2] - The consensus estimate for earnings has decreased by 11 cents over the past month to $1.66 per share, indicating a 4.1% decline compared to the same period last year [2] - POST has achieved an average earnings surprise of 16.5% over the trailing four quarters [2] Performance Drivers - The quarterly performance is expected to benefit from strong momentum in core segments, particularly Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail, supported by favorable volume trends and improved supply conditions [3] - Foodservice trends are positive, with increased egg and potato volumes noted at the end of the previous quarter [4] - In Refrigerated Retail, volume growth in dinner sides is anticipated to provide a modest boost to the upcoming quarter's results [4] - The company is entering the year with a balanced egg supply, allowing for a more normalized operating environment and a focus on volume growth [4][5] Seasonal and Product Factors - First-quarter results are expected to gain from seasonal tailwinds in Refrigerated Retail, along with support from new private label products launched towards the end of fiscal 2025 [6] - Demand remains strong for higher value-added egg products, with supply recovering from previous disruptions [5] Profitability Outlook - However, normalization of HPAI (Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza) is likely to exert pressure on first-quarter EBITDA, alongside typical seasonal declines in cereal performance in the U.S. and U.K. [7] - Near-term profitability may be moderated as the business transitions to a more normalized operating environment [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for POST, with an Earnings ESP of -2.82% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [8][9]

Group 1 - The analyst has over a decade of experience researching various companies across different sectors, including commodities like oil, natural gas, gold, and copper, as well as technology firms such as Google and Nokia [1] - The analyst has transitioned from writing a personal blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where extensive research on hundreds of companies has been conducted [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in covering metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with other industries such as consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Group 1 - The analyst has over a decade of experience researching various industries, including commodities like oil, natural gas, gold, and copper, as well as technology companies such as Google and Nokia [1] - The analyst has transitioned from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where extensive research on hundreds of companies has been conducted [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in covering metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with other sectors like consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Post Holdings, Inc. will hold a conference call on February 6, 2026, to discuss its financial results for Q1 FY 2026 and provide an outlook for the fiscal year 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Conference Call Details - The conference call is scheduled for February 6, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. ET, featuring key executives including Robert V. Vitale, Nicolas Catoggio, and Matthew J. Mainer [1]. - Financial results for Q1 will be released after market close on February 5, 2026 [2]. - Interested parties can join the call by dialing (800) 445-7795 in the U.S. or (785) 424-1699 internationally, with the conference identification number POSTQ126 [2]. Group 2: Replay Information - A replay of the conference call will be available until February 13, 2026, via (800) 925-9416 in the U.S. and (402) 220-5387 internationally [3]. - A webcast replay will also be accessible for a limited time on Post's website [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Post Holdings, Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company based in St. Louis, Missouri, with operations in various food categories [4]. - The company includes brands such as Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Michael Foods, and Bob Evans Farms, with a strong presence in ready-to-eat cereals, pet food, and refrigerated foods [4].

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis of several food companies, including JM Smucker Company, Conagra Brands Inc, Hormel Foods Corporation, and Post Holdings Inc, highlighting their performance and market trends [1] Group 2 - JM Smucker Company is noted for its strong brand portfolio and recent financial performance, which may present investment opportunities [1] - Conagra Brands Inc is discussed in terms of its strategic initiatives and market positioning, indicating potential growth areas [1] - Hormel Foods Corporation's focus on innovation and product diversification is emphasized, suggesting resilience in a competitive market [1] - Post Holdings Inc is analyzed for its recent acquisitions and market expansion efforts, which could enhance its market share [1]

Core Insights - Post Holdings, Inc.'s Foodservice segment experienced significant growth, with net sales increasing by 20.4% year over year to $718 million in Q4 of fiscal 2025, driven by higher volumes and favorable pricing due to avian influenza impacts [2][4][9] Sales Performance - Excluding the Potato Products of Idaho acquisition, Foodservice volumes rose by 9.3% in Q4, attributed to expanded distribution in egg and potato products, normalization of customer egg inventories, and growth in protein-based shakes [3][9] - For the full fiscal year, Foodservice net sales increased by 14.5% to $2,641 million, indicating strong overall performance [4] Profitability - The Foodservice segment's adjusted EBITDA surged by 49.9% year over year in Q4, reflecting improved throughput and a favorable product mix, while for fiscal 2025, adjusted EBITDA increased by 22.4% [5][9] Market Dynamics - Management noted that while egg pricing benefits are expected to moderate, the fourth-quarter performance was supported by distribution gains and customer inventory normalization, highlighting the segment's contribution to overall operating performance [6] Stock Performance - Post Holdings shares gained 0.5% over the past month, outperforming the broader Consumer Staples sector and the S&P 500 index, which grew by 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively [7] Valuation - The company currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 12.87, which is below the industry average of 15.22 and the sector average of 17.6, indicating a modest discount relative to peers [11]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the focus on value investing in Asia, particularly in Hong Kong, targeting stocks with significant discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value [1] - It highlights two main categories of investment opportunities: deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks, which are characterized by their strong competitive advantages [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The service aims to identify deep value stocks, such as net cash stocks and low price-to-book (P/B) ratio stocks, which are available at a discount [1] - It also seeks wide moat stocks, which are high-quality businesses with sustainable competitive advantages, often referred to as "Magic Formula" stocks [1] - Monthly updates and watch lists are provided to keep investors informed about potential investment opportunities [1]

Core Insights - Post Holdings, Inc. released its 2025 Sustainability report, highlighting its enterprise-wide approach to sustainability across four strategic pillars: Sourcing, Operations, People, and Products [1] Group 1: Sustainability Progress - In fiscal year 2025, Post Holdings maintained steady progress in sustainability efforts [1] - The company received positive recognition from leading rankings and media organizations [4] - Post Holdings continued to outperform health and safety industry rates for food manufacturing companies [4] Group 2: Operational Highlights - The company focused on producing high-quality and safe products while advancing responsible sourcing [4] - Post achieved further reductions in environmental intensity across operations, packaging, and transportation [4] - Tools and technical assistance were provided to key suppliers, and the HowGood platform was fully activated to evaluate global ingredient sourcing and product footprints [4] Group 3: Community Engagement - Post Holdings supported local communities with financial contributions, volunteer time, and donations of over 10 million pounds of food [4]

Group 1 - Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:POST) is recommended as a consumer defensive stock, with 80% of analysts giving it a 'Buy' or equivalent rating, and a median price target of $125 indicating a 26.60% upside potential from the current price [1] - Mizuho reduced its price target for Post Holdings to $120 from $122 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, citing challenges in U.S. consumer brands and cereal headwinds in Europe [2] - The company announced a new $500 million share repurchase authorization effective November 27, replacing a previous program that repurchased $275.2 million in shares [4] Group 2 - For the fourth quarter, Post Holdings reported an EPS of $2.09, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.87, while revenue was $2.2 billion, below the analyst estimate of $2.25 billion [5] - CEO Rob Vitale emphasized the company's strategic focus on diversification to navigate uncertainty during the earnings call [5] - Following the mixed financial results, analysts made several adjustments, with Evercore ISI trimming its price target to $129 from $131 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, and Stifel reaffirming its Buy rating with a $130 price target [5] Group 3 - Post Holdings, Inc. is a Missouri-based consumer packaged goods holding company, founded in 1895, operating through four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail [6]

Core Viewpoint - San Francisco is suing major food brands for selling ultra-processed foods that contribute to public health issues, claiming these companies have profited from harmful products without proper health warnings [1][3][4]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit, filed by San Francisco City Attorney David Chiu, is 64 pages long and targets 11 major food brands [1][2]. - The brands named in the lawsuit include Kraft Heinz, Mondelez, Coca-Cola, Pepsico, General Mills, Nestlé, and others [2]. Group 2: Accusations Against Brands - The lawsuit accuses these brands of creating addictive foods that lead to health problems, failing to provide health warnings, and making misleading claims about product healthiness [3][4]. - Ultra-processed foods are linked to obesity, type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and other chronic illnesses [4]. Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Context - Chiu is calling for the brands to stop deceptive marketing practices and to pay civil penalties to San Francisco [5]. - This lawsuit aligns with a broader movement in the U.S. to regulate processed foods, initiated by Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [5][6].