币圈“极度恐慌”,市场为比特币跌向“80000美元”做准备
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-11-18 00:21

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin is experiencing a significant decline, with traders preparing for further downturns as protective demand for put options at lower price points has surged, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Price Movements - Bitcoin has fallen below $91,500, continuing its recent downward trend, with put options exceeding $740 million for contracts expiring at the end of November [1]. - The sentiment index from CoinMarketCap shows that cryptocurrency participants are in a state of "extreme fear," with many investors unable to buy more due to deep losses and unwilling to cut their losses [1]. - Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has dropped to $2,975, marking a 24% decline since early October, reflecting weak performance [5]. Group 2: Impact on Crypto Treasury Companies - Digital asset "treasury companies" are under significant pressure, having accumulated large amounts of cryptocurrency earlier this year in an attempt to become concept stocks in the crypto market [2][3]. - Despite some companies like Michael Saylor's Strategy purchasing $835 million worth of Bitcoin, many peers are facing increasing pressure to sell assets to protect their balance sheets [3]. Group 3: Macro Factors Influencing the Market - Broader economic forces, including Federal Reserve policy expectations and discussions around the AI bubble, are contributing to negative market sentiment for cryptocurrencies and risk assets [6][7]. - Analysts indicate that the cryptocurrency market has been volatile since a significant liquidation event in early October, where approximately $19 billion in crypto assets were wiped out [7]. - The decline in open interest for cryptocurrency futures contracts, particularly for smaller tokens like Solana, has been noted, with some positions decreasing by more than half [7]. Group 4: General Market Conditions - The risk-averse sentiment has permeated the cryptocurrency market, reflecting broader macroeconomic anxieties rather than structural flaws within the crypto sector [8].