Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-18 00:26Core Viewpoint - The energy storage market has seen a significant surge in demand for lithium battery materials, leading to substantial price increases, making the lithium battery materials sector a standout performer in the A-share market [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Supply - Since Q3 of this year, the demand for lithium battery materials such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, lithium iron phosphate, and lithium carbonate has rapidly increased due to the explosion of the energy storage market [1] - A carbon lithium production company in Sichuan reported that even with full production capacity, they cannot meet customer demand, indicating a strong market demand [1] - The chairman of Ganfeng Lithium predicts that global lithium carbonate demand will reach 1.55 million tons in 2025, with a potential increase to 1.9 million tons by 2026, suggesting a tightening supply-demand balance [1] Group 2: Price Trends - The price of lithium carbonate is currently low due to an oversupply of about 200,000 tons, but there is potential for price increases if demand growth exceeds 30% next year, possibly reaching 150,000 to 200,000 CNY per ton [1] - The downstream investment and operation segments of energy storage are expected to pass on excess profits to upstream materials, batteries, and integration sectors, indicating a potential for price increases across the lithium battery supply chain [2] Group 3: Industry Opportunities - CITIC Securities continues to favor materials, particularly lithium hexafluorophosphate, lithium iron phosphate, anode materials, separators, and battery segments, highlighting opportunities in these areas [3] - The upcoming peak production season is expected to lead to a supply-demand imbalance, driving prices higher [4] - Changes in pricing models are anticipated, which could further impact the market dynamics [5] Group 4: Related Companies - Key companies in the lithium battery materials sector include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and Zhongwei New Materials, while energy storage companies include BYD and CATL [6]