Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-18 02:59Core Viewpoint - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles in China is projected to reach 33% by October 2025, an increase of 8 percentage points from 25% in October 2024, indicating strong growth in the sector driven by policy support and market demand [1][13]. New Energy Commercial Vehicle Penetration Rate - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles has shown significant growth, reaching 27% in the first ten months of 2025, up from 20% in 2024 and 11% in 2023 [1][13]. - The penetration rates for trucks and buses are 24% and 72% respectively, both showing substantial increases compared to previous years [17]. Sales Performance - In October 2025, the domestic sales of new energy commercial vehicles reached 82,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 49% [2][11]. - From January to October 2025, total sales of commercial vehicles in China reached 2.55 million units, a 10% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [7][2]. Market Trends - The new energy commercial vehicle market has been characterized by strong growth, particularly from March to October 2025, with sales consistently at high levels [11][2]. - The overall commercial vehicle market has seen fluctuations, with a notable drop in January 2025 followed by a recovery in subsequent months [5][7]. Competitive Landscape - The commercial vehicle market is primarily supported by light truck manufacturers, with Foton and Wuling leading in sales [20][19]. - The heavy-duty truck segment has shown stability, with companies like FAW Jiefang and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group performing well [22][19]. Regional Market Dynamics - The eastern regions, particularly North China and South China, have shown strong performance in the light truck market, while the penetration of new energy heavy trucks is increasing in regions like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Southwest China [21][23]. - The light passenger vehicle market is dominated by manufacturers such as Jiangling Motors and SAIC-GM-Wuling, with emerging players like Geely making significant strides in the new energy segment [27][29].