Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-18 03:02Group 1 - Bond traders are awaiting the release of key economic data that will strengthen market expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts [2] - U.S. Treasury prices have seen their largest increase since 2020, driven by rate cut expectations [2] - The end of the U.S. government shutdown will lead to the release of delayed economic reports, including September employment data [2] Group 2 - During the government shutdown, the absence of official data made it difficult to assess economic trends, although private sector data indicated weakness [2] - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate twice in September and October, ending a nine-month period of holding rates steady [2] - There is a risk of stronger-than-expected official data, which could lead policymakers to maintain interest rates at the December meeting [2] Group 3 - China’s two-year government bond yield is at 1.43%, while the ten-year yield is at 1.81% [7] - The U.S. two-year government bond yield has risen by 4 basis points to 3.62%, and the ten-year yield has increased by 3 basis points to 4.14% [7] Group 4 - Huaxia Happiness has received a notice regarding a pre-restructuring application from creditor Longcheng Construction, with significant uncertainty about the court's acceptance of the application [3] - Taihe Group announced a loan extension with Tianjin Bank, providing a guarantee for its subsidiary's obligations, with a maximum guarantee amount of 239 million yuan [3] - Poly Development has updated the status of its 15 billion yuan public bond project to "submitted for registration" [3]