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光大环境(00257.HK):公司计划回A上市 看好估值整体提升
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-18 05:33

Company Situation - The company plans to issue no more than 80,000 shares on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which accounts for no more than 11.52% of the post-issue share capital (excluding the exercise of the over-allotment option), with an over-allotment option of up to 15% of the issuance amount [1] - The raised funds are initially intended for the development of the main business and to supplement general working capital [1] Comments - Given the higher valuation of environmental protection in the A-share market, the company's return to A-shares is expected to enhance its valuation and open up subsequent financing channels [1] - The upper limit of the share issuance corresponds to a pre-issue share ratio of 13.0% and a post-issue share ratio of 11.5% (both excluding over-allotment) [1] - Current A-share companies focused on waste-to-energy have a projected 2025E price-to-earnings ratio of 11 times or more, with price-to-book ratios above 1, some exceeding 2; in contrast, similar companies in the Hong Kong market have 2025E price-to-earnings ratios of only 6-7 times and price-to-book ratios of 0.2-0.5 times, indicating a significant A/H discount [1] - The company, as a leading player in waste-to-energy capacity, is expected to benefit from returning to A-shares, which may help improve its valuation level and facilitate future financing [1] Cash Flow and Dividend Outlook - The company is expected to see accelerated cash flow collection and solid dividends, indicating long-term investment value [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company's operating cash flow increased by 37.9% year-on-year to 2.97 billion HKD, benefiting from the expansion of non-electricity businesses, reduced capital expenditures, and improved management efficiency [2] - With the overall acceleration of renewable energy subsidy recovery in the second half of the year, cash flow performance is anticipated to continue improving [2] - The company aims to maintain stable operating cash flow while optimizing its debt structure and supporting moderate dividend increases [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains an outperform rating and profit forecasts of 4.27 billion HKD and 4.41 billion HKD for 2025 and 2026, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 7.1 times and 6.9 times for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a target price of 5.20 HKD, implying an upside potential of 5% [2] - The current stock price (as of November 14) corresponds to dividend yields of 5.2% and 5.4% for 2025E and 2026E, respectively, which remains attractive in the current low interest rate environment [2]