光大环境(00257.HK):启动“回A”进程 资本开支优选方向 不改现金流价值逻辑
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-18 05:33

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangda Environment, plans to issue A-shares and list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange to enhance its financing channels and support long-term growth, amidst favorable policy conditions for companies in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] Group 1: A-Share Issuance and Market Strategy - Guangda Environment intends to issue up to 800 million A-shares, representing no more than 11.52% of the expanded share capital post-issuance, to raise funds primarily for business development and general working capital [1] - The company aims to establish a dual-platform layout (A+H) to provide diversified financing options, as A-share valuations and liquidity are generally better than those of H-shares [1] - The company has seen a positive trend in free cash flow since 2024, with capital expenditures decreasing and dividends increasing, supporting its strategy to return to the A-share market [1] Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth Prospects - In 2024, Guangda Environment's free cash flow turned positive, with a net operating cash flow of 8.91 billion RMB, and a year-on-year increase of 4.3 billion RMB [2] - The company plans to maintain controlled capital expenditures, with a projected reduction to 4 billion RMB in 2025, while also expecting a significant increase in dividend potential, with a projected payout ratio of 98% [2] - The company received 2.064 billion RMB in national subsidies in July-August 2025, which is expected to accelerate cash flow recovery and support dividend payments [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 3.576 billion, 3.874 billion, and 4.036 billion HKD respectively, with a current price-to-book ratio of 0.59x and a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.5x for 2025 [3] - The company continues to be rated as a "Buy" based on its improving cash flow and dividend logic [3]