全球风险情绪恶化：日本股债汇三杀，纳指期货跌1%，比特币下破9万美元关口，金价继续下探

Core Market Trends - The Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 1%, Dow futures decreased by 0.5%, and S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.7% [2] - The Nikkei 225 index experienced a decline of over 3%, while the TOPIX index fell by 2.4% [2] - The MSCI Asia-Pacific index decreased by 2% to 221.28 points, marking its first drop below the 50-day moving average since April [2] - Bitcoin fell below the $90,000 mark, and Ethereum dropped below $3,000 [2] Japanese Market Dynamics - The Nikkei 225 index closed at 48,908.25, down 1,415.66 points or 2.81%, while the TOPIX index was at 3,267.32, down 80.21 points or 2.40% [3] - The Japanese yen fell to 155.37 against the US dollar, the lowest since January, and the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond rose to 1.754%, the highest since June 2008 [3][4] - Concerns over government spending and geopolitical factors have led to a sell-off in Japan's stock, bond, and currency markets [4] Investor Sentiment and Economic Outlook - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming Nvidia earnings report and the September employment report for insights into the tech sector's valuation and Federal Reserve policy direction [5] - Analysts indicate that the current sell-off reflects ongoing concerns about interest rate prospects and tech stock valuations [5] - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month is currently priced at about 40% [6] Technical Analysis and Market Signals - Analysts warn that technical indicators suggest a potential 10% correction risk for US stocks, with the S&P 500 down 3.2% since its record high on October 28 [7] - The Nasdaq Composite index is showing weak internal signals, with more stocks hitting 52-week lows than those reaching new highs [8] - Bitcoin's decline has erased all gains for 2025, significantly impacting the sentiment in the digital asset market [8]