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电池板块重挫,是危是机?天赐材料一度跌停!电池50ETF(159796)回调超4%,资金逆势净流入6000万元!碳酸锂期货续涨,价格传导效率提升?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-18 06:16

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a volatile pullback on November 18, with the battery sector facing significant declines, particularly the Battery 50 ETF (159796), which dropped over 4% despite a net inflow of 60 million yuan during the day, bringing its total inflow over the past two days to more than 870 million yuan, reaching a new high of over 10.45 billion yuan in total assets [1][3]. Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) saw most of its constituent stocks decline, with the battery materials sector leading the losses. Notable declines included Fu Lin Precision Engineering down over 15%, Xinzhou Bang and Hunan Youneng down over 10%, and Tianqi Materials and Putailai hitting their daily limit down [3][4]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the Battery 50 ETF included major players like Longi Green Energy and CATL, with declines ranging from 2.05% to 6.47% [4]. Stock Movements - CATL's shareholder Huang Shilin plans to transfer 45.63 million shares at a price of 376.12 yuan per share, which has been fully subscribed by 16 institutional investors [4]. - The recent sell-off in battery materials coincided with a continued upward trend in lithium carbonate futures prices, which have surged from less than 70,000 yuan/ton in July to nearly 90,000 yuan/ton in November [5][7]. Industry Trends - The lithium battery upstream raw materials have been experiencing a collective price increase since July, with lithium carbonate and lithium hexafluorophosphate prices seeing significant rises, impacting the pricing of electrolytes and other components [7][8]. - The demand for negative electrode materials has also increased, with a year-on-year growth of over 15% in graphite demand, leading to price increases among major producers [8]. Storage Market Insights - The domestic energy storage market is approaching an economic inflection point, driven by the marketization of renewable energy and capacity pricing, with expectations of over 30% growth in lithium battery demand next year [9][10]. - Analysts predict that the global energy storage installation will see a growth of 50-60% next year, with significant demand expected from emerging markets [10]. ETF Investment Strategy - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is highlighted for its high exposure to the energy storage sector, which constitutes 26% of its index, and a substantial 42% exposure to solid-state battery technology, indicating strong growth potential [11][13]. - The ETF is noted for its low management fee of 0.15% per year, making it an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on the battery sector's growth [16].