Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-18 07:26Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that CNOOC's stock price has dropped over 4%, reflecting broader concerns in the oil market due to an oversupply forecast by the International Energy Agency (IEA) [1] - The IEA has raised its forecast for global oil surplus in the coming year, predicting a daily excess of over 4 million barrels, highlighting an increasing imbalance in the oil supply-demand equation [1] - Despite a slight upward adjustment in global oil demand growth predictions for this year and next, the IEA still expects the average daily increase to be less than 800,000 barrels, which is significantly lower than historical trends [1] Group 2 - CNOOC's performance in the first three quarters shows a revenue of 312.503 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.15%, attributed to lower oil prices impacting revenue [1] - Dongxing Securities noted that while oil and gas production continues to grow, the revenue decline is less than the drop in oil prices, indicating the company's resilience [1] - The average spot price of Brent crude for the first three quarters of 2025 was $69.914 per barrel, a year-on-year decrease of 14.6%, while the main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was $27.35, down 2.8% year-on-year [1]