Core Viewpoint - Company maintains a "Buy" rating for XPeng Motors (09868) with a target price of HKD 134.69, citing robust revenue growth and improved gross margins in Q3 [1][3] Financial Performance - XPeng's Q3 revenue reached RMB 20.38 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%, aligning with market expectations [2] - Vehicle sales totaled 116,000 units, reflecting a 12.4% quarter-on-quarter growth [2] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was RMB 156,000, a slight decrease of RMB 800 compared to the previous quarter [2] - The overall gross margin hit a historical high of 20.1%, driven by increased service and technology revenue, although the automotive gross margin slightly declined to 13.1% due to model structure changes [2] Future Outlook - The company projects Q4 revenue between RMB 21.5 billion and RMB 23 billion, indicating a potential quarter-on-quarter growth of approximately 9.2% [2] - Expected vehicle deliveries for Q4 are between 125,000 and 132,000 units, suggesting a quarter-on-quarter increase of around 10.8% [2] - The company anticipates continued improvement in profitability, supported by the ramp-up of new platforms and advanced driving technology [2] Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of the self-developed Turing chip is expected to enhance high-level autonomous driving penetration in Q3 and Q4 [2] - The "Kunpeng Super Electric System," which features dual energy capabilities (pure electric and range-extended), is set to enter mass production in Q4, contributing positively to ASP and overall cost structure [2] - The company plans to launch seven range-extended models and three new vehicles overseas in the coming year [2] Investment Recommendation - The company is viewed as one of the clearest paths to profitability among new energy vehicle manufacturers, with expectations for sustained high sales growth and improved ASP and margins in 2025-2026 [3] - The ongoing investments in AI chips, autonomous driving, low-altitude economy, RoboTaxi, and humanoid robots are expected to enhance long-term growth potential and valuation [3]
交银国际:维持小鹏汽车-W“买入”评级 综合毛利率创历史新高