Core Viewpoint - Northeast Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Guangdong-Hong Kong Bay Holdings (01396), highlighting its successful entry into the AI computing sector through acquisitions, marking a strategic upgrade from a traditional real estate developer to a "digital ecosystem operator" [1] Group 1: Strategic Transformation - The company is positioned as a new type of "urban-rural ecological service provider" deeply rooted in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on residential and urban renewal projects [1] - The strategic transformation from a traditional real estate developer to an "urban-rural ecological service provider" has been ongoing, with a significant acquisition planned for October 23, 2025, to convert idle factory and land resources into high-performance computing centers [1] Group 2: Major Asset Acquisition - On October 23, the company announced the completion of the acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited for a total price of HKD 977 million, which controls Shenzhen Tiandun Data Technology Co., Ltd., a leading operator in AI computing and green energy computing services in China [2] Group 3: Business Model and Financial Health - The traditional business has become a driver for growth, with the company completing a USD 440 million debt-to-equity swap on May 7, 2025, significantly reducing its interest-bearing debt ratio from 45% to 7% [3] - The dual business model of Tiandun Data, focusing on "multi-source computing power services + AIDC construction operations," has been commercially validated, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability [3] Group 4: New Growth Opportunities - The "green energy computing" model developed by Tiandun Data aligns perfectly with the company's urban development capabilities, transforming idle resources into high-performance computing centers and fundamentally changing the profitability logic of traditional industries [4] - The influx of high-value B-end resources from major cloud service providers and leading AI companies opens up new growth avenues for the company [4] - The company aims to establish a diversified income structure through AI computing services, energy management revenues, and computing space operation income, significantly enhancing its risk resistance and profitability resilience [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of RMB 718 million, RMB 579 million, and RMB 789 million for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +139.13%, -19.41%, and +36.41%, respectively [5] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 9x, 11x, and 8x, with a first-time coverage and a "Buy" rating recommended [5]
东北证券:首予粤港湾控股“买入”评级 转型“数字生态运营商”