马杜罗认怂？美媒：只要特朗普放他一马，3000亿桶石油美国拿大头

Core Viewpoint - Maduro's recent overture to the U.S. involves offering Venezuela's vast oil reserves and gold in exchange for non-interference, indicating a significant geopolitical gamble rather than a straightforward diplomatic transaction [1][3][25]. Group 1: Venezuela's Offer - Maduro has proposed a deal allowing U.S. companies to operate in Venezuela's oil fields and gold mines, suggesting a shift in allegiance from China to the U.S. if the U.S. ceases efforts for regime change [3][5]. - The offer includes transferring oil sales from China to the U.S., emphasizing resource exchange for political survival [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Context - Venezuela's economy is in dire straits, characterized by hyperinflation, severe shortages, and a devalued currency, pushing Maduro to leverage the country's natural resources as a bargaining chip [5][8]. - The country holds approximately 300 billion barrels of oil, accounting for about one-fifth of global reserves, making it a significant player in the energy market [7][8]. Group 3: U.S. Response - The initial U.S. reaction was skepticism, with the Trump administration rejecting the proposal due to distrust in Maduro's reliability and a strategic goal to remove him from power [10][22]. - Despite public rejection, U.S. military presence in the Caribbean has increased, indicating a readiness to respond to any potential threats from Venezuela [12][14]. Group 4: Military Preparations - In response to U.S. actions, Maduro has ramped up military readiness, conducting large-scale drills and acquiring defense systems from Russia, which complicates any potential U.S. military intervention [17][20]. - The Venezuelan government is mobilizing civilian militias, aiming to train one million individuals as part of a national defense strategy, thereby increasing the cost of U.S. intervention [20][22]. Group 5: Geopolitical Implications - The situation reflects a complex geopolitical game where both parties are wary of each other yet recognize the necessity of negotiation, with Maduro betting on U.S. interest in stability over regime change [25][32]. - The dynamics illustrate the challenges faced by smaller nations in the context of great power competition, where resource control becomes a critical factor in international relations [30][32].