A&F(US:ANF) ZACKS·2025-11-18 16:01Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending October 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Abercrombie is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.15 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 14% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $1.28 billion, which is a 5.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.97% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Abercrombie is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.79% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - Abercrombie's current Zacks Rank is 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Abercrombie exceeded the expected earnings of $2.27 per share by delivering $2.32, resulting in a surprise of +2.20% [13]. - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [14]. Industry Context - Another player in the retail apparel sector, Shoe Carnival (SCVL), is expected to report earnings of $0.53 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 25.4%, with revenues anticipated to be $297.2 million, down 3.2% from the previous year [18][19]. - Shoe Carnival's consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0.00%, making predictions of an earnings beat challenging [20].