10年后有望全球登顶！全国大咖为何看好大湾区？

Core Insights - The 20th China Economic Forum was held in Guangzhou, focusing on promoting Chinese-style modernization and high-level opening-up [1] Group 1: Manufacturing Industry - By the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, China's manufacturing industry accounted for over 30% of the global share, making it the third country to reach this milestone after the UK and the US [3] - China has shed the label of being "large but not strong" in manufacturing, leading in five out of the ten most important manufacturing sectors and keeping pace in the other five [5] - Despite significant progress, the manufacturing sector still faces three major issues: high energy consumption, low profits, and low total factor productivity, which need to be addressed through the development of new quality productivity [5] Group 2: Strategic Emerging Industries - Investment in strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, biomedicine, high-end equipment, and artificial intelligence is projected to attract at least 100 trillion yuan from the 15th Five-Year Plan until 2040 [5] - Guangdong has established nine trillion-level industrial clusters, including new-generation electronic information and advanced materials industries, with emerging industries like AI and autonomous driving rapidly developing [5][7] Group 3: Service Trade and Economic Development - The average growth rate of China's productive service industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan was around 12%, nearly three times the GDP growth rate [11] - China's service trade has become the second largest globally, with significant potential for growth as it has maintained a long-term trade deficit in this sector [11] - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is positioned as a key area for expanding service trade and exploring institutional openness [13][16] Group 4: Future Economic Outlook - The Greater Bay Area is expected to become the world's largest economic and innovation center by 2035 if the 11 cities within it further integrate [16] - The 15th Five-Year Plan is seen as a strategic opportunity for Chinese companies to transition from "Chinese leaders" to "global giants" [13]