Will Nvidia Soar After Nov. 19? History Offers a Strikingly Clear Answer.

Core Insights - Nvidia has established itself as a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, which is currently valued at approximately $300 billion and projected to reach trillions by the early 2030s, driven by increasing interest in AI technology [1][5] - The company's revenue has surged significantly, reporting $130 billion in the latest fiscal year, up from $27 billion two years prior, as major tech companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure [5][6] - Nvidia's stock has experienced a remarkable increase of 1,000% over the past three years, reflecting strong investor confidence in its AI chip technology [2][4] Nvidia and the AI Market - Nvidia dominates the AI chip market, particularly in designing graphics processing units (GPUs) essential for training and inferencing large language models, with major clients including Microsoft and Amazon [4][5] - The ongoing AI infrastructure buildout is expected to lead to substantial investments in high-powered GPUs, with Nvidia's CEO predicting AI infrastructure spending could reach $4 trillion by the end of the decade [5][6] Stock Performance and Earnings Reports - Nvidia is set to report its fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings on November 19, with historical data indicating that the stock has risen in the months following earnings reports, despite short-term unpredictability [7][9] - Over the past nine earnings reports, Nvidia's stock advanced seven times in the six months following those reports, with all gains being in double digits [8][9] - While short-term performance may vary, historical trends suggest a positive outlook for Nvidia's stock in the months following earnings announcements [11]