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U.S. tech sell-off gathers pace while Europe equities nose-dive
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA) Youtubeยท2025-11-19 09:23

Group 1: Market Overview - Equity markets are under renewed pressure, particularly in the tech sector, with the European stock 600 closing at a one-month low and the DAX dropping to its lowest levels since June [2][36] - The upcoming earnings report from Nvidia is highly anticipated, with analysts expecting a significant rise in sales, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble [2][36] Group 2: Inflation Data - The UK CPI has come in at 3.6%, matching Reuters estimates and marking the lowest level in five months, although still significantly above the Bank of England's target of 2% [4][9] - Services CPI for October is reported at 4.5%, slightly below the expected 4.6%, indicating some relief for the Chancellor ahead of the budget [5][10] Group 3: Budget Implications - The upcoming UK budget is seen as a critical fiscal event, with expectations that it could be inflationary due to higher spending without raising income taxes [11][13] - Analysts suggest that the budget may not provide the Bank of England with enough room to cut rates, despite the current inflation data [12][28] Group 4: Nvidia's Earnings Expectations - Nvidia is expected to report an EPS of $1.25 per share on $55 billion in sales, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% [36] - The company has a substantial backlog of orders, with CEO Jensen Huang revealing half a trillion dollars worth of orders for the upcoming years [36][39] Group 5: Debt Concerns in the Tech Sector - Concerns are rising about the increasing debt levels among tech companies, with estimates suggesting that companies could add $700 billion in net debt without significantly raising their leverage [40][41] - The focus is shifting towards capital expenditure and whether hyperscalers will maintain their spending pace amid market pressures [39][62] Group 6: Private Market Dynamics - The private market is experiencing significant activity, with companies like Elon Musk's XAI reportedly in advanced talks to raise $15 billion at a valuation of $230 billion [53] - The trend of companies staying private longer is reshaping the investment landscape, with implications for valuations and competitive dynamics [66][70]