中国发布预警，日本股市立崩，台军:48小时内大陆64机舰“围台”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing military pressure from mainland China on Taiwan and the notably muted response from Japan, highlighting a shift in Japan's stance due to economic and security concerns [1][4][15]. Military Dynamics - Mainland China's military activities have escalated, showcasing a "systematic suppression" approach rather than mere reconnaissance, which significantly increases pressure on Taiwan [4][18]. - The recent military maneuvers include the involvement of advanced aircraft, indicating a comprehensive capability demonstration [4]. Japan's Response - Japan's previous strong statements regarding Taiwan have been replaced by a notable silence, reflecting a shift in priorities towards its own economic and security interests [6][15]. - The Japanese government has taken steps to clarify its position with China, indicating a desire to avoid further escalation [13]. Economic Implications - The potential decline in Chinese tourists and students could have a significant negative impact on Japan's economy, particularly in sectors like aviation, retail, and services [8][11]. - Japan's economic recovery is fragile, and any disruption from reduced Chinese engagement could lead to a chain reaction affecting various industries [11]. Political Context - The article suggests that some Taiwanese political figures have relied on Japan's support as a deterrent against mainland China, but Japan's recent actions reveal a more self-preserving approach [15][18]. - The dynamics of the Taiwan Strait are shifting, with Japan's focus on its own safety and economic stability taking precedence over its commitments to Taiwan [18].