Amazon Stock (NASDAQ: AMZN) Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 for November 19

Core Insights - Amazon's stock has experienced a decline of 10.98% over the past five trading sessions, following a previous gain of 0.50%, resulting in a year-to-date gain of only 1.06% as of November [3][4] - The company reported Q3 earnings on October 30, beating estimates with an EPS of $1.95 and revenue of $180.17 billion, while AWS revenue was $33 billion and advertising revenue was $17.7 billion [4][5] - Concerns about Amazon's significant AI capital expenditures persist, but investor sentiment turned bullish post-earnings, leading to a record high stock price since February 2025 [4][5] Financial Performance - Amazon's net income for 2024 is projected at $59.2 billion, a 94.60% increase from 2023's $30.42 billion, with a five-year net income projection of 4.5 times [5] - From 2014 to 2024, Amazon's revenue grew by 616.80%, with notable fluctuations in net income, including a surprise loss in 2022 [12][13] Business Segments - E-commerce remains a critical growth area, but competition is intensifying as online sales only account for 15% of total retail sales [13] - AWS revenue for Q1 2024 was $25.04 billion, with expectations to exceed $100 billion in total sales for the year, although growth rates may lag behind competitors like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud [14] - The advertising segment showed strong performance, with Q3 2025 revenue of $17.7 billion, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase [15] Stock Price Predictions - Wall Street analysts have set a median one-year price target for Amazon at $294.97, indicating a potential upside of 32.54% from current levels, with a consensus "Strong Buy" rating from 43 analysts [16] - 24/7 Wall St. projects a year-end stock price of $250.85, representing a 12.71% upside, with expectations for continued growth in AWS and advertising [17] Long-term Forecast - Revenue projections for 2030 estimate $1.15 trillion, with net income at $131 billion, leading to a total enterprise value of $2.6 trillion [19] - The estimated stock price by the end of 2030 is $524.67, reflecting a compounded annual growth rate in revenue and continued investment in e-commerce and AI [20][21]