今日期货市场重要快讯汇总｜2025年11月20日

Group 1: Precious Metals Futures - New York futures gold and spot gold prices have recently risen, with New York futures gold surpassing $4130 per ounce on November 19, increasing by 1.56% [1] - Spot gold also broke through $4130 per ounce, with a daily increase of 1.57% [2] - On November 20, both continued to rise, with New York futures gold breaking through $4080 (down 0.09%), $4090 (up 0.19%), and $4100 (up 0.43%) [3][4][5] - Spot gold followed suit, breaking through $4080 (up 0.05%), $4090 (up 0.31%), and $4100 (up 0.55%) [6][7][8] Group 2: Energy and Shipping Futures - According to the EIA, U.S. crude oil inventories decreased by 3.426 million barrels for the week ending November 14, significantly exceeding the expected decrease of 603,000 barrels, with the previous value showing an increase of 6.413 million barrels [9] - The CEO of Saudi Aramco indicated that oil demand is expected to grow strongly in 2025 and 2026 [10] Group 3: Financial Futures - The Hang Seng Index futures showed stable performance, closing up 0.02% at 25826.96 points on November 20, with a low water mark of 3.69 points [11] - Following the U.S. Labor Department's announcement to cancel the October non-farm payroll report, January futures for the federal funds rate faced significant selling, dropping to a low of 96.25, indicating reduced market expectations for a loosening of Fed policy in the coming months [12] Group 4: Macro and Market Impact - The minutes from the Federal Reserve's October meeting revealed significant divisions among officials regarding the policy path for December, with many believing that maintaining rates may be appropriate, while a few supported another rate cut [13] - Consequently, the CME "FedWatch" tool indicated that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December fell to 31.8%, while the probability of maintaining rates increased to 68.2% [14] Group 5: Currency and Stock Market - The U.S. dollar index experienced increased volatility, with the dollar rising 1% against the yen to 157.07, nearing the highest point since mid-January [15] - In the U.S. stock market, major indices closed higher on November 19, with the Dow up 0.1%, S&P 500 up 0.38%, and Nasdaq up 0.59%, led by gains in technology stocks such as Google, Broadcom, and Nvidia [16]