西部证券：车载电源龙头强者恒强 未来有希望向AIDC服务器电源拓展

Core Viewpoint - The global market for automotive power supplies is expected to reach 64.8 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 19% from 2024 to 2027, indicating significant growth potential in the AIDC new track [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The automotive power supply system plays a critical role in electric vehicles, handling energy distribution, conversion, and transmission. The technology is mature and approaching standardization [1]. - The market is projected to benefit from the increase in new energy vehicle sales, with a forecasted CAGR of 15% for domestic new energy passenger vehicles from 2024 to 2027 [1]. - The price difference between 800V and 400V power supply products is estimated to be around 250 yuan, with a projected 15% penetration rate for 800V models by 2025, which will enhance average selling prices (ASP) [1]. Group 2: Supply Side Analysis - Leading manufacturers possess cost competitiveness and customer binding advantages, with a highly concentrated competitive landscape where the top 10 players have a market share exceeding 90% [3]. - The production capacity of leading third-party manufacturers has reached millions of units, and they are accelerating the deployment of automated production lines, which can produce 86% more per hour compared to semi-automated lines [3]. - Once automotive power supply products pass vehicle manufacturer certification, they establish stable partnerships with specific vehicle models, creating a customized product barrier [3]. Group 3: Technological Overlap - The architecture and technical routes of AIDC server power supplies overlap with automotive power supplies, allowing automotive power supply manufacturers to potentially expand into new markets [2]. - Both power supply types utilize AC/DC conversion and high-power applications, with leading automotive power supply manufacturers capable of meeting the demands of AIDC power supplies in terms of power density, efficiency, and electromagnetic compatibility [2].