Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on the aluminum industry for the upcoming year, driven by strong global demand growth, rising copper prices, and healthy smelting profit margins [1] Industry Summary - Anticipated new supply from Indonesia is expected to create a moderate supply surplus by 2026, but potential supply disruption risks and a slower pace of overseas capacity restart may lead to tighter market supply than baseline forecasts [1] - The recent surge in aluminum prices, surpassing 21,000 yuan per ton, is expected to sustain profit momentum in the coming quarters [1] Company Summary - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for China Aluminum A-shares from 10 yuan to 13 yuan and H-shares from 8 HKD to 12.5 HKD, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] - China Hongqiao's target price was increased from 26.5 HKD to 34 HKD, also with an "Overweight" rating [1] - The earnings forecast for China Aluminum for 2025 to 2027 has been adjusted upward by 3% to 19%, reflecting a more optimistic view on prices and profit margins [1]
大行评级丨摩根大通:看好明年铝业前景 上调中国铝业及中国宏桥目标价