Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-20 08:13Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that China Construction Bank's management expects the yields from consumer loans, mortgages, and large corporate loans to stabilize, provided that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) does not significantly decrease by 2026 [1] Group 1: Loan Performance and Projections - The bank anticipates that the narrowing of net interest margin will slow down by 2026, with pressure mainly during the first quarter due to loan repricing [1] - Approximately 60% of mortgage loans will be repriced on January 1, 2026, and management believes that net interest income is likely to turn positive, supporting revenue growth [1] - After regular property price reassessments, the loan-to-value ratio for mortgages exceeds 40%, and the bank is satisfied with the current credit quality of these loans [1] Group 2: Risk Management and Profitability - Management expresses satisfaction with the current non-performing loan coverage ratio and is willing to gradually release provisions to support profits as income stabilizes [1]