Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-20 08:43Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile (00175) and raises the target price to HKD 26.01, citing strong revenue growth and significant increases in total sales and core net profit for Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Geely's total revenue increased by 26.5% year-on-year to CNY 239.48 billion, with a gross margin of 16.5%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year; core net profit rose by 59% to CNY 10.62 billion [1] - For Q3 2025, total revenue grew by 26.1% year-on-year and 14.7% quarter-on-quarter to CNY 89.19 billion, with a gross margin of 16.6% [1] Sales and Market Share - Geely's total sales in the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 45.7% year-on-year to 2.17 million units, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 53.8% of total sales, up 17.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2025, total sales rose by 42.5% year-on-year and 7.9% quarter-on-quarter to 761,000 units, with new energy vehicle sales making up 58.2% of total sales [2] New Model Performance - The Galaxy series has shown strong sales performance, with a year-on-year increase of 205.6% in the first nine months of 2025; new models like Galaxy M9 and Zeekr 9X are expected to drive further sales growth [2] Integration and Global Expansion - The privatization of Zeekr is progressing smoothly, with completion expected by the end of 2025; this integration is anticipated to optimize resources and enhance efficiency [3] - Geely aims to expand its global sales network to over 1,000 locations by 2026, with a target of exporting one million vehicles by 2027 [3] Profit Forecast - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 10%, 3%, and 6% respectively, now projecting CNY 17.74 billion, CNY 19.18 billion, and CNY 21.23 billion [4]