Diageo(US:DEO) The Motley Fool·2025-11-20 09:07Core Viewpoint - Diageo is considered significantly undervalued with a forward dividend yield of approximately 4.5%, making it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term gains [1][5][10] Company Overview - Diageo is the world's leading spirits company, owning iconic brands such as Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, and Captain Morgan [3] - The company has over 200 brands generating $20 billion in annual revenue, showcasing its tremendous distribution capabilities and global scale [8] Financial Performance - Diageo's stock has fallen around 26% this year, reflecting broader industry trends of weakening demand [3] - Management expects adjusted (non-GAAP) net sales to remain flat or slightly decline for the year, while cost savings are anticipated to drive an increase in adjusted operating profit [7] - The company is projected to generate approximately $3 billion in full-year free cash flow, with an average of 85% of free cash flow allocated to dividends over the last three years, indicating a sustainable payout [7] Investment Potential - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.8, which is half of its valuation from two years ago, suggesting potential for significant appreciation if the stock is rerated [9] - Berkshire Hathaway's small $21 million stake in Diageo, held for nearly three years, reflects confidence in the company's long-term prospects [9] Dividend Information - Diageo has a consistent history of growing its bi-annual dividend payments over the last 25 years, although it does not increase its dividend every year [5] - The current forward dividend yield of approximately 4.5% is supported by the company's consistent free cash flow generation, making it an opportune time to invest [5][10]