美联储10月会议纪要显示官员对12月降息预期有分歧

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's October monetary policy meeting minutes indicate significant disagreement among officials regarding a potential interest rate cut in December, influenced by moderate economic expansion and a cooling labor market [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - The U.S. economy is experiencing moderate expansion, with the labor market gradually cooling but not showing signs of severe deterioration [1] - Some Federal Reserve officials believe that current inflation levels are close to the Fed's target when excluding tariff impacts [1] Group 2: Inflation Perspectives - A majority of officials argue that overall inflation remains persistently above the target level, with little indication of a timely and sustainable return to the 2% target [1] - The debate over the impact of tariffs on inflation reflects differing views among Federal Reserve officials [1] Group 3: Future Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that a decision to further cut interest rates in December is not guaranteed [1] - The federal government "shutdown" has resulted in the absence of key economic data, which may also contribute to delaying any interest rate cuts [1]