Core Viewpoint - The recent Bitcoin crash is attributed to a combination of factors rather than a sudden attack from short sellers, indicating that the bubble was bound to burst eventually [8] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Bitcoin experienced a dramatic decline from a peak of $126,000 to a low of $89,385 within 72 hours, representing a nearly 30% drop and erasing approximately $400 billion in market value [6][28] - The decline was exacerbated by a high leverage environment in the derivatives market, leading to forced liquidations of long positions when Bitcoin fell below critical support levels [17][20] Group 2: Economic Influences - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain high interest rates (5.5%-5.75%) in response to persistent inflation (4.2% year-on-year in October) has made riskier assets like Bitcoin less attractive compared to safer investments like government bonds [11][13] - Institutional investors, as indicated by the decline in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's premium from 18% to -5%, have been pulling out of Bitcoin, signaling a lack of confidence in the asset [15][28] Group 3: Investor Behavior - Long-term investors have been selling off their Bitcoin holdings, with over 127,000 Bitcoins sold in the first two weeks of November, resulting in cashing out over $15 billion [28] - The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq index has reached 0.82, suggesting that Bitcoin is behaving more like a tech stock rather than a hedge against inflation [24]
比特币跌穿9万!有人亏到失眠,这波血洗真不怪空头
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-20 17:49