中国宏桥(1378.HK):看好公司高盈利与高分红持续
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-20 19:50

Group 1 - The company plans to issue up to 400 million shares at a price of HKD 29.2 per share, raising a maximum of HKD 11.68 billion, which represents a discount of approximately 9.6% from the previous trading day's closing price [1] - The funds raised will be used to optimize the capital structure and support the development of domestic and overseas projects, including a significant aluminum production capacity in China and a joint venture in Guinea [1] - The company is expected to maintain a stable performance in 2026-2027, supported by a strong outlook for aluminum prices and an improved capital structure, which may facilitate continued high dividend policies [1] Group 2 - The company is actively pursuing a "large-scale buyback + high dividend" strategy, having repurchased 1.87 million shares for HKD 2.6 billion in the first half of the year and planning a new round of buybacks totaling at least HKD 3 billion [2] - The company has maintained a dividend payout ratio above 45% since 2020, with ratios of 46.8%, 47.0%, and 63.4% over the past three years, reflecting confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholder returns [2] Group 3 - The profit margins in the electrolytic aluminum sector are expected to continue expanding, potentially offsetting downward pressure from alumina prices, as domestic production capacity is strictly limited while demand remains strong [3] - The company’s main businesses include alumina and electrolytic aluminum, with alumina prices currently at a low point, limiting the potential for significant further declines [3] - The company maintains optimistic profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of CNY 25.625 billion, CNY 25.426 billion, and CNY 25.760 billion, respectively, and a target price of HKD 35.22 based on a 12X PE ratio [3]