Here's How Abercrombie Stock is Poised Ahead of Q3 Earnings

Core Insights - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) is set to report its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 25, before market opening [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter revenues is $1.28 billion, reflecting a 5.6% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $2.15 per share, indicating a decrease from $2.50 reported in the previous year [2] - The earnings consensus has decreased by 1.4% over the past 30 days [2] Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, ANF's earnings exceeded the consensus estimate by 2.2%, with an average earnings surprise of 7.6% over the last four quarters [3] Factors Influencing Performance - The company's performance is expected to benefit from its Always Forward plan, brand strength, and store optimization efforts [4] - ANF is enhancing its brand portfolio and agile operating model, focusing on improved customer experience through technology investments [4] - The Hollister brand has shown continued momentum, with balanced growth across men's and women's segments and effective marketing strategies [5] Cost Pressures - Higher expenses due to inflation and increased investments are anticipated to impact the upcoming quarter [6] - The company now expects a net tariff impact of approximately $90 million for fiscal 2025, up from $50 million previously [6] - Adjusted operating expenses are projected to decrease by 16.3% year over year in the fiscal third quarter [6] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model indicates that ANF may not achieve an earnings beat this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -2.79% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7] Valuation Metrics - Abercrombie is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.09X, which is lower than the industry average of 16.63X [8] Stock Performance - ANF's shares have declined by 4% over the past six months, compared to a 5.3% drop in the industry [10]