Core Viewpoint - The performance of chip manufacturers at the core of the artificial intelligence competition has been impressive, while the U.S. economy remains robust as indicated by employment reports and consumer spending from the largest global retailer. However, optimism in the stock market was short-lived, leading to significant volatility and a notable market reversal [1]. Market Performance - The S&P 500 index initially rose by 1.9% within the first hour of trading but later erased gains, falling by 1.1% by 1 PM, marking the largest reversal since market turbulence in April, with over $2 trillion in market value evaporated. The VIX index surged past 28 [1]. Investor Sentiment - Concerns have resurfaced regarding whether artificial intelligence can generate sufficient revenue or profits to justify the substantial investments made in the technology. Additionally, Bitcoin's drop below $87,000 for the first time since April has contributed to the stock market's decline. Traders are also worried about high stock valuations and increased market volatility as the options expiration date approaches [1]. Analyst Insights - Chris Murphy from Hena International Group noted that with Nvidia's earnings report concluded and limited likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, investors are questioning what could drive a year-end rally. He mentioned that the positioning of commodity trading advisors remains fragile, and a deeper correction could trigger further selling [1]. - Greg Taylor from PenderFund Capital Management suggested that the early optimism was primarily driven by short covering, and the market is now reassessing its position [1]. - Matt Maley from Miller Tabak + Co. highlighted the critical question of whether the profitability of artificial intelligence will meet market expectations, leading many traders to consider taking profits [1]. - Kimberly Forrest from Bokeh Capital Partners raised concerns about the disconnect between the hype surrounding AI and the lack of reflected profits [1]. - Craig Johnson from Piper Sandler stated that while investors felt relieved after Nvidia's earnings, the broader market requires more time to stabilize and begin a recovery [1].
标普500指数上演4月来最大逆转 交易员试图探寻背后原因