Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-21 02:29Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a decline in stock prices, with significant drops observed in major companies such as Xinyi Solar and New Energy, indicating a bearish market sentiment [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xinyi Solar (00968) fell by 6.07%, trading at HKD 3.25 [1] - New Energy (01799) decreased by 5.78%, trading at HKD 7.34 [1] - Flat Glass (601865) dropped by 4.8%, trading at HKD 10.92 [1] - Xinyi Glass (00868) declined by 2.09%, trading at HKD 8.92 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Guotou Futures reported that polysilicon futures are following industrial silicon prices downwards, with spot N-type re-investment material prices fluctuating between CNY 49,700 to CNY 54,900 per ton [1] - Overall demand for photovoltaics is weak, with terminal purchasing showing marginal declines and no inventory accumulation observed overseas [1] - There are expectations for a reduction in production in the module segment in December, while the battery cell segment faces significant inventory pressure [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - CICC's report suggests that after the rush for installations ends in the first half of 2025, photovoltaic demand is expected to weaken, although the performance of silicon materials and wafers may see significant recovery due to anti-involution efforts [1] - However, the pricing in the module segment is not showing clear upward trends [1] - According to招商期货, the "Document No. 136" mechanism for electricity pricing is being implemented across provinces, which is expected to put pressure on photovoltaic installation growth in the domestic market in the fourth quarter [1]