中国或许是全球最后一个进入民用航空工业俱乐部的国家

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese commercial aviation industry, represented by COMAC, is making significant strides in the production of passenger jets, particularly with the C919 and ARJ21 models, despite being a late entrant in a market dominated by established players like Boeing and Airbus [2][4][22]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The global commercial jet market has high entry barriers, with only a few key players such as Boeing, Airbus, Embraer, and some Russian manufacturers [2]. - China has recently entered this market, with COMAC's C919 and ARJ21 models showing potential for growth and development [4][22]. Group 2: Product Development - The ARJ21 regional jet, which began development in 2002, has been crucial for COMAC, with over 100 units delivered and operational experience accumulated [6][10]. - The C919 project was initiated shortly after COMAC's establishment in 2008, with the first prototype flying in 2017 and commercial operations starting in 2023 [8][10]. Group 3: Market Demand and Orders - Major Chinese airlines have placed significant orders for C919 and ARJ21, with total orders exceeding 1,000 aircraft, indicating strong domestic demand [10][24]. - The domestic market is projected to require 9,323 aircraft, with 6,881 being single-aisle jets, providing a substantial opportunity for growth [22][24]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The article highlights the challenges faced by other countries in the aviation sector, such as Russia and Japan, which have struggled with production and certification issues [14][20]. - China's late entry into the market is contrasted with its rapid development and the establishment of a comprehensive supply chain involving thousands of domestic suppliers [10][22]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The Chinese aviation industry is expected to continue evolving, with potential advancements in supersonic and space travel, while also contributing significantly to the economy through various related sectors [24].