Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-21 03:36Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology (002202) shares have dropped over 5%, currently trading at HKD 11.57, with a transaction volume of HKD 104 million. The company faces challenges due to low wind turbine prices leading to industry losses, with projected gross margins of only 6.4% and 5.1% for 2023 and 2024 respectively, while the wind turbine business is currently in a loss state [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Goldwind Technology is expected to experience a cyclical surge in demand in 2025, with a high backlog of orders, indicating that complete machine prices are likely to remain elevated [1] - The company achieved external wind turbine sales of 18.45 GW in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 90% year-on-year increase, with 86% of sales coming from turbines of 6 MW and above [1] - As of September 30, 2025, Goldwind Technology has a total of 49.87 GW in external orders, including 7.16 GW from overseas [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The "Beijing Wind Energy Declaration 2.0" sets a target for new domestic wind power installations to not be less than 120 GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan, suggesting sustained high demand in the industry [1] - The average bidding price for land-based wind turbines has hit a bottom in September 2024, with prices having increased for four consecutive quarters, and a projected increase of 10% from January to August 2025 [1] - The manufacturing profitability for turbines is expected to reach a turning point in 2026, as the time from order to delivery is approximately one year [1]