小米集团-W(01810.HK)季报点评:3Q25净利润超预期 汽车首次单季度盈利
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-21 03:44

Core Insights - The company reported a 3Q25 adjusted net profit of 11.31 billion yuan, exceeding expectations by 7.1%, driven by better-than-expected gross margins in IoT, internet services, and automotive sectors [1][2] Revenue and Profitability - 3Q25 revenue reached 113.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, slightly above the forecast by 0.7% [1] - The adjusted net profit for 3Q25 was 11.31 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 80.9% [1] - IoT revenue grew by 5.6% to 27.6 billion yuan, with notable growth in wearable and lifestyle products [2] - Internet business revenue increased by 11% to 9.4 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 76.9% [2] Smartphone and Market Performance - Global smartphone shipments in 3Q25 totaled 43.25 million units, a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [1] - The company's global smartphone market share rose to 13.6%, with increases in various regions including Latin America and Southeast Asia [1] - The average selling price (ASP) for smartphones decreased by 3.6% to 1,063 yuan, primarily due to lower ASPs overseas, although ASP in mainland China increased due to a shift towards high-end models [1] Automotive Sector - The company delivered 109,000 vehicles in 3Q25, achieving an ASP of 260,000 yuan, driven by increased deliveries of the SU7 Ultra and YU7 models [2] - The automotive and innovation business segment achieved a gross margin of 25.5% and recorded a quarterly operating profit of 700 million yuan for the first time [2] - The outlook for 2026 is positive, with expectations for continued growth in vehicle deliveries and profit acceleration [2] Adjustments and Valuation - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 7.5% and 9.8% to 40.49 billion yuan and 57.77 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 24x for 2025 and 17x for 2026, with a target price adjustment down by 10.9% to 53 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 30% [2]