LPR连续6个月按兵不动,年内还会变化吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-21 03:57

Core Viewpoint - The latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remains unchanged, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, aligning with market expectations and previous values [1][2] Group 1: LPR and Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 300 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a fixed rate of 1.4%, indicating a net liquidity injection of 110 billion yuan after accounting for maturing repos [1] - The stability of the LPR since May 2025 reflects a steady macroeconomic environment, driven by strong export performance and growth in new productive sectors [2][3] - The weighted average interest rate for new corporate loans was reported at 3.1% in October, down approximately 40 basis points year-on-year, while the same rate for personal housing loans was also 3.1%, down about 8 basis points [2] Group 2: Future Outlook - Economic growth momentum is expected to slow down, with recent macro data indicating declines in investment, consumption, and industrial production [3] - There is potential for new monetary easing measures, including interest rate cuts, to stimulate internal financing demand and support economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026 [3] - Regulatory measures may be introduced to lower the 5-year LPR, aiming to reduce the burden of high mortgage rates on residents and stimulate housing market demand [3]