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引领“双新”创新 前瞻产业未来——2025石油和化工行业推进中国式现代化发展大会分论坛“新能源新材料产业创新会议”观点集萃

Core Insights - The conference focused on the modernization of the oil and chemical industry in China, addressing topics such as MOF materials, AI-driven new material development, flow battery energy storage applications, and green methanol development pathways [1][5]. Group 1: MOF Materials - MOF materials have a vast market potential, with a global market size projected to grow from $410 million in 2024 to $2.1 billion by 2031, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 34% [5]. - The unique characteristics of MOF materials include an ultra-high specific surface area, adjustable pore sizes for efficient gas separation, and strong designability for various applications in clean energy, semiconductors, catalysis, and biomedicine [5][6]. Group 2: AI in Material Development - The application of artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming the research paradigm in new material development, significantly enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of material discovery processes [8][9]. - A new molecular language model has been developed to predict and generate over 2 million structures in just a few hours, improving material discovery efficiency by over 80% with an accuracy rate exceeding 90% [8]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Strategic Directions - The chemical industry is shifting towards high-quality development in response to global competition, particularly between major powers like China and the U.S., with a focus on meeting societal needs through innovation and collaboration [11]. - The demand for new materials is surging, particularly in the fields of new energy and electrification, driven by the rapid growth of electric vehicles and renewable energy sectors [11]. Group 4: Flow Battery Technology - Flow batteries, particularly vanadium flow batteries, are gaining traction due to their safety, long lifespan, and suitability for large-scale energy storage applications [13]. - China leads the global market in vanadium production, accounting for 72% of global output, and is expected to achieve complete domestic control of the flow battery supply chain soon [13]. Group 5: Green Methanol Development - Green methanol is positioned as a key player in the energy revolution and carbon neutrality goals, with significant potential in various applications including automotive fuel and as a low-carbon chemical feedstock [15]. - Over 100 green methanol projects have been signed or registered in China, with a cumulative planned annual production capacity exceeding 50 million tons, although only a few projects have been realized [15]. Group 6: Innovation and Sustainability - Innovation is identified as the core support for carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement in the chemical industry, with a focus on high-efficiency heat transfer technologies [17][18]. - The chemical industry is expected to see a total sustainable investment of $20 trillion to $33 trillion by 2030, emphasizing the need for accelerated technology development and application [20][21]. Group 7: Intellectual Property and Competitive Strategy - Intellectual property protection is crucial for overcoming "involution" in the chemical industry, which is characterized by homogeneous products competing on price [25]. - Companies are encouraged to shift from quantity-driven growth to quality-focused operations, emphasizing the importance of high-value patents and strategic IP management [25].