平安资管黄家乐：港股迎重估机遇 建议“杠铃策略”配置

Core Insights - The 2025 Bay Area Wealth Conference highlighted new investment opportunities in the Hong Kong stock market amid China's asset revaluation, with a recommendation for investors to adopt a "barbell strategy" that balances high-dividend stocks for stability and growth stocks for potential returns [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market shows significant valuation advantages, with the Hang Seng Index's dividend yield at 3.04% and a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 11.19, lower than major global indices [1]. - The AH share premium index is at a high level, indicating a valuation discount of 20%-30% for Hong Kong stocks compared to A-shares [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The "stable" end of the barbell strategy focuses on high-dividend stocks, which historically perform better during declining interest rates and have low correlation with global indices, thus effectively diversifying risk [1]. - The "growth" end emphasizes the potential of Hong Kong growth stocks, particularly in technology and semiconductors, driven by external factors like the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and easing export restrictions on chips [1][2]. Group 3: Sector Analysis - Key sectors for growth include new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and technological innovation, with AI technology transforming drug development and enhancing efficiency [2]. - The new consumption sector is experiencing a shift in consumer attitudes, leading to the rise of new brands that leverage cultural empowerment and product innovation to capture market share [2]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index has a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85, indicating that valuations are below growth rates, suggesting promising growth potential [2]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - There is an increasing enthusiasm from overseas funds for Chinese assets, with an expected influx of over $140 billion if global active funds allocate to Chinese assets [2]. - The momentum of southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks remains strong, particularly in sectors like retail, pharmaceuticals, and media [2][3].