CONBA(SH:600572) Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-11-21 07:01Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities indicates that Kang En Bei's revenue growth rates for Q1-Q3 2025 are projected to be -7.64%, +3.04%, and +10.42% year-on-year, showing continuous improvement quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The significant drag on the company's performance in the first half of 2025 is primarily due to the high base effect from the flu season in the first half of 2024, particularly affecting the "Jin Di" brand of compound Houttuynia cordata syrup and other respiratory medications [1] - In contrast, digestive and metabolic medications such as Chang Yan Ning achieved a year-on-year growth of 16.51% in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Looking ahead to Q4 2025 and 2026, it is expected that with the normalization of flu data and the ongoing deepening of the mixed reform process, along with the steady advancement of the brand focus strategy, brand products are likely to see stable growth [1] - National sentinel hospital data indicates an increase in flu-like cases in both northern and southern provinces since late October 2025, surpassing the levels of the same period in 2024, which is expected to benefit the company's core business [1] Group 3: Product Impact and Strategy - The company's core products, including the "Kang En Bei" Chang Yan Ning series and "Jin Di" compound Houttuynia cordata series, are OTC products that are less affected by centralized procurement price reductions [1] - As the proportion of specialty health consumer products continues to rise, the impact of centralized procurement is expected to diminish [1] - The company maintains an "Overweight" rating [1]