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对话杨元庆:AI不存在泡沫,2026年存储芯片价格还会持续上涨

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a record high revenue of 146.4 billion yuan for Q2 of FY2025/26, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit rising 25% to 3.66 billion yuan [2] - The company's IDG smart device business generated 108.1 billion yuan, a 12% increase, while the ISG infrastructure solutions business saw a 24% rise to approximately 29.3 billion yuan [2] - AI-related business revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, indicating AI as a significant growth driver for Lenovo [3] Revenue Breakdown - IDG smart device business revenue: 108.1 billion yuan, up 12% [2] - ISG infrastructure solutions business revenue: approximately 29.3 billion yuan, up 24% [2] - SSG solutions and services business revenue: nearly 20% year-on-year growth [2] AI and Market Trends - AI's growth is expected to be sustainable, with significant demand for memory, flash, and solid-state drives, leading to rising storage chip prices [3][4] - Morgan Stanley indicates that the AI-driven memory supercycle is real, with potential for stronger and longer-lasting impacts than anticipated [4] - The global traditional PC market is projected to grow by 5% to 10%, driven by AI PC demand, which is expected to account for 31% of global PC shipments by 2025 [6][8] Supply Chain and Pricing - Lenovo has secured optimal contracts with key component suppliers, ensuring sufficient supply despite rising prices [5][6] - The company is well-positioned to manage supply shortages and price increases better than competitors due to strong supplier relationships [5] Future Outlook - Lenovo plans to focus on personal and enterprise intelligence, with expectations of continued growth in both areas [7] - The global server market is projected to grow by approximately 44.6% by 2025, with AI servers expected to see a 46.7% increase, driving overall market expansion [8]