亚商投顾曾宪瑞：今日市场全天震荡调整，市场情绪持续低迷

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and continued to decline, closing down 2.45% with a trading volume of 824.9 billion, an increase of 113.6 billion from the previous trading day [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index also opened significantly lower, closing down 3.41% with a trading volume of 1.14 trillion, up 143.2 billion from the previous day [2] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index fell below the 60-day moving average, indicating a stronger bearish trend. The MACD indicator shows expanding green bars, and the DIFF and DEA lines are further declining, reinforcing the bearish signal [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index experienced a similar trend with MACD green bars expanding and a solidifying bearish crossover, indicating strong bearish momentum [6] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is extremely poor, with approximately 354 stocks rising and 5072 stocks declining, resulting in a rise-to-fall ratio of about 1:10 [7] - There were around 33 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 118 stocks falling by more than 10%, indicating a significant drop in short-term sentiment [8] Major Events - The delayed non-farm payroll data for September exceeded expectations, but it did not resolve the internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, leading to a continued decrease in the likelihood of a rate cut in December [9] Summary - The market experienced a significant adjustment with the Shanghai Composite Index down over 2% and the ChiNext Index down over 4%. Nearly 5100 stocks declined, and 99 stocks hit the daily limit down, reflecting a sustained low market sentiment [10] - The lithium battery sector saw a broad decline, with lithium mining stocks experiencing a limit down trend, while only a few sectors like agriculture and aquaculture showed gains [10][13] - The overall market is still in a phase of concentrated bearish sentiment, and investors are advised to remain cautious and wait for signs of a potential reversal before seeking opportunities [11]