大盘震荡回调，指数短期性价比凸显

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant decline on November 21, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.45% to close at 3834.89 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 3.41% to 12538.07 points. The ChiNext Index dropped by 4.02% to 2920.08 points, while the Hang Seng Index decreased by 2.38% to 25220.02 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 3.21% to 5395.49 points. Overall, 5071 stocks declined against 351 that rose, with total trading volume reaching 1.98 trillion yuan [1]. Economic Indicators - The National Energy Administration reported that in October, the total electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4%. By sector, the primary industry consumed 12 billion kilowatt-hours (up 13.2%), the secondary industry consumed 568.8 billion kilowatt-hours (up 6.2%), and the tertiary industry consumed 160.9 billion kilowatt-hours (up 17.1%). Notably, residential electricity consumption rose by 23.9% to 115.5 billion kilowatt-hours [2]. Federal Reserve Insights - The minutes from the Federal Reserve's October meeting indicated that many participants believe the next meeting should maintain interest rates, while a minority suggested a potential 25 basis point cut. The minutes emphasized that further data validation regarding labor market concerns is necessary before considering another rate cut. The absence of key employment data has led to increased market speculation that the likelihood of a rate cut in December has diminished [1][2]. AI Sector Analysis - Nvidia's earnings report exceeded expectations; however, there are concerns regarding diminishing marginal returns in the AI sector. The sustainability of AI's growth is contingent upon new narratives and key players, as the current marginal utility is declining [1][2]. Investment Strategy - In the context of limited liquidity and weak fundamentals in the AI sector, it is advisable to avoid industries that have seen excessive gains. Short-term investment strategies should focus on dividend-paying assets such as banks, insurance, electricity, and coal to mitigate net asset volatility and secure relative returns. Despite short-term adjustments, the long-term outlook for the A-share market remains bullish [2].