韩国金融研究院预测2026年经济增长2.1%

Economic Outlook - The Korea Financial Institute predicts a 2.1% growth in the South Korean economy by 2026, primarily driven by a recovery in domestic demand [1] - Private consumption growth is expected to rise to 1.6%, while construction investment is forecasted to rebound from -8.9% to 2.6% [1] Export and Trade - Export growth is anticipated to decline to 0.8% due to the slowdown in global trade, leading to a narrowing of the current account surplus [1] Inflation and Prices - The consumer price inflation rate is projected to decrease to 1.8%, although uncertainties remain regarding U.S. policy direction and geopolitical risks [1] Financial Sector Challenges - The financial sector faces multiple challenges, including potential volatility in the stock market due to credit financing [1] - The banking industry may experience deterioration in soundness indicators due to pressure on net interest margins and adjustments in risk-weighted assets [1] - The insurance industry is expected to see slowed growth due to the impacts of an aging population [1]